The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
NEW
0 - 3
TNS
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
TNS
2 - 1
POR
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
TNS
4 - 1
LID
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 0
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
CWM
3 - 3
CEF
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
BAN
2 - 0
CEF
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
CEF
0 - 2
HAV
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
CAE
2 - 0
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |