The New Saints vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
B36
2 - 2
TNS
36%
22%
42%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 3
TNS
10%
17%
74%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
TNS
3 - 1
ZIL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 2
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TNS
6 - 1
94%
5%
1%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |