The New Saints vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TNS
5 - 2
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
TNS
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
TNS
0 - 1
MYP
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2006 |
MYP
1 - 0
TNS
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAE
38%
25%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
3 - 3
HAV
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
HAV
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |