The New Saints vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
5 - 1
CON
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
TNS
17%
24%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 1
TNS
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
TNS
0 - 3
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 2
LLA
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
BAL
20%
22%
59%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PRE
1 - 0
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 2
LID
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |