The Gap vs Brisbane Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
VIR
1 - 3
GAP
45%
21%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
GAP
2 - 3
GRA
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
GAP
0 - 3
ALB
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
NPI
1 - 1
GAP
42%
22%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MGH
2 - 2
GAP
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
BRK
0 - 4
GRA
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ALB
5 - 2
BRK
79%
12%
8%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRK
2 - 3
NPI
44%
20%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MGH
0 - 2
BRK
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
BRK
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |