Thatcham Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thatcham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
AND
37%
25%
37%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
BEA
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
MIL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
THA
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
THA
1 - 2
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
BAS
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
ABI
0 - 0
BAS
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
DID
0 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
AFH
2 - 4
BAS
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
TAU
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |