Thaon vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
ILL
0 - 1
THA
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
THA
2 - 0
MOR
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
THA
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
THA
0 - 1
SAI
46%
25%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BIE
0 - 0
THA
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAN
2 - 2
AMN
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COL
1 - 7
NAN
30%
23%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
NAN
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NAN
5 - 0
ILL
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAN
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -2 |