Thaon vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
THA
1 - 1
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAI
2 - 0
THA
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
THA
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
THA
0 - 5
TRO
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PON
5 - 1
THA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
SAI
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
MET
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MET
3 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 0
MET
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |