Alcantarilla FC vs Muleño CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
14º
21
5º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 3
AGU
13%
23%
64%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
3 - 0
JUV
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 1
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUL
2 - 1
BUL
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCA
2 - 1
MUL
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MUL
0 - 0
RMC
27%
26%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEU
1 - 4
MUL
7%
16%
77%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MUL
2 - 2
RAA
60%
22%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |