Tercera División RFEF XIII - Region of Murcia Round 4

Alcantarilla FC vs Muleño CF analysis

Alcantarilla FC Muleño CF
21 ELO 23
-10.3% Tilt -24.5%
11526º General ELO ranking 9480º
1347º Country ELO ranking 561º
ELO win probability
27.8%
Alcantarilla FC
23.8%
Draw
48.4%
Muleño CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
Alcantarilla FC
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.4%
Win probability
Muleño CF
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Alcantarilla FC
+50%
-5%
Muleño CF

Points and table prediction

Alcantarilla FC
Their league position
Muleño CF
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
14º
21
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Águilas FC
70
70
100%
Lorca Deportiva
58
58
100%
CDU Malacitano
58
58
100%
Atlético Pulpileño
54
54
100%
Racing Murcia
52
52
100%
Unión Molinense
50
50
100%
Real Murcia Imperial
44
44
100%
Cieza
40
40
100%
UCAM Murcia B
39
39
100%
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
10º
35
35
10º
100%
El Palmar
11º
34
34
11º
50%
Caravaca
12º
31
34
12º
50%
Deportiva Minera
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Alcantarilla FC
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Muleño CF
15º
21
21
15º
100%
CD Bullense
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Alcantarilla FC
Muleño CF
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Alcantarilla FC
Muleño CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Alcantarilla FC
Alcantarilla FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2022
LAU
CDU Malacitano
3 - 0
Alcantarilla FC
ALC
79%
15%
7%
20 34 14 0
17 Sep. 2022
ALC
Alcantarilla FC
0 - 3
Águilas FC
AGU
13%
23%
64%
21 45 24 -1
11 Sep. 2022
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
0 - 0
Alcantarilla FC
ALC
82%
12%
6%
21 31 10 0
30 Apr. 2022
ALC
Alcantarilla FC
3 - 0
Juvenia
JUV
75%
16%
9%
21 13 8 0
23 Apr. 2022
CDT
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
0 - 1
Alcantarilla FC
ALC
33%
26%
41%
20 17 3 +1

Matches

Muleño CF
Muleño CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
2 - 1
CD Bullense
BUL
50%
24%
26%
24 22 2 0
18 Sep. 2022
UCA
UCAM Murcia B
2 - 1
Muleño CF
MUL
62%
20%
17%
24 31 7 0
11 Sep. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
0 - 0
Racing Murcia
RMC
27%
26%
48%
24 32 8 0
30 Apr. 2022
CEU
Independiente Ceutí
1 - 4
Muleño CF
MUL
7%
16%
77%
24 9 15 0
24 Apr. 2022
MUL
Muleño CF
2 - 2
El Raal
RAA
60%
22%
18%
24 19 5 0