Alcantarilla FC vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 1
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CDB
4 - 1
ALC
47%
25%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 0
CDA
29%
24%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALG
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
VIL
5%
12%
83%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDB
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
1 - 2
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARC
44%
23%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |