Tesorillo vs Hinojos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
UDT
4 - 1
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 2
UDT
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
UDT
0 - 0
BAZ
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
CDG
0 - 0
UDT
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
UDT
2 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +6 |
Matches
Hinojos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
HIN
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
HIN
2 - 0
MOG
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAS
3 - 3
HIN
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
HIN
1 - 0
ZAL
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
HIN
3 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |