Tesorillo vs Federico Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+412%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tesorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VEJ
0 - 1
UDT
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UDT
3 - 1
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
3 - 1
UDT
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
UDT
2 - 1
ACN
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
UDT
62%
20%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Federico Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FED
0 - 1
ALC
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
FED
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FED
1 - 3
UDR
61%
20%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SID
1 - 1
FED
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FED
2 - 1
VIL
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |