Ternana U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
3º
13º
4º
31
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TER
8 - 0
PER
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CCS
2 - 3
TER
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TER
2 - 1
PES
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 2
TER
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
MNP
62%
19%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 3
PES
40%
21%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPE
0 - 0
BAR
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 6
PAL
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |