Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Final
Global 1-1
Ternana Calcio vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
TER
3 - 1
VIC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
VIC
0 - 0
TER
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TER
2 - 0
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
GER
1 - 0
TER
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ACD
0 - 0
TER
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2025 |
PES
1 - 1
AUD
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 4
PES
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
PES
2 - 0
VIS
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
VIS
2 - 4
PES
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
PES
1 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |