Ternana Calcio vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PES
2 - 1
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
EMP
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TER
2 - 3
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TER
5 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 3
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
JUS
1 - 1
MOD
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 0
VIR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
MOD
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |