Ternana Calcio vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TER
5 - 0
NOV
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
JUS
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRO
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |