Coppa Italia round 3

Ternana Calcio vs Ancona analysis

Ternana Calcio Ancona
69 ELO 72
-6.9% Tilt -0.5%
596º General ELO ranking 3393º
36º Country ELO ranking 111º
ELO win probability
45.3%
Ternana Calcio
25.7%
Draw
29%
Ancona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
Ancona
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ternana Calcio
-2%
-34%
Ancona

ELO progression

Ternana Calcio
Ancona
Pisa SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2003
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 2
Sambenedettese
SSS
63%
22%
15%
71 60 11 0
07 Jun. 2003
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
37%
26%
36%
70 74 4 +1
31 May. 2003
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
42%
27%
31%
71 69 2 -1
24 May. 2003
TER
Ternana Calcio
3 - 1
Catania
CAT
60%
23%
17%
71 60 11 0
17 May. 2003
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
47%
26%
27%
71 73 2 0

Matches

Ancona
Ancona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2003
ANC
Ancona
0 - 2
Milan
ACM
21%
25%
54%
71 90 19 0
26 Aug. 2003
SSS
Sambenedettese
3 - 0
Ancona
ANC
26%
27%
46%
72 61 11 -1
17 Aug. 2003
ANC
Ancona
0 - 2
Pisa SC
PIS
71%
18%
11%
73 63 10 -1
07 Jun. 2003
LIV
Livorno
1 - 1
Ancona
ANC
48%
25%
27%
73 70 3 0
31 May. 2003
ANC
Ancona
2 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
62%
21%
17%
72 67 5 +1