Tepelena vs Devolli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
12º
10º
31
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepelena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 0
LFC
12%
21%
66%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
TEP
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 0
ALB
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MEM
1 - 4
TEP
27%
23%
51%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TEP
1 - 0
BUT
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Devolli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DEV
3 - 3
DEL
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 2
DEV
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 3
MAL
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
DEV
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 2
ELB
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |