Tefana vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TEF
4 - 1
BAF
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AMD
1 - 1
TEF
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WAI
10 - 0
TEF
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
TEF
86%
10%
5%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TEF
0 - 3
MAG
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 1
WAI
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
5 - 0
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 0
WAI
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |