Tefana vs Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
4º
1º
13
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TEF
2 - 1
VEN
52%
19%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
TEF
4 - 3
PIR
48%
19%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TEM
0 - 3
TEF
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PUN
1 - 2
TEF
35%
20%
45%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 6
TEF
55%
19%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 5
PIR
45%
19%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PUN
4 - 0
DRA
22%
17%
62%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 4
DRA
42%
20%
38%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEM
0 - 5
DRA
26%
18%
56%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 6
TEF
55%
19%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |