Tefana vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tefana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VEN
0 - 3
TEF
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TEF
2 - 0
MAN
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 8
TEF
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VAI
0 - 10
TEF
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
TEF
7 - 2
TAM
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ASE
1 - 1
TAM
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
TAH
1 - 4
ASE
21%
21%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASE
1 - 11
PIR
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
6 - 0
ASE
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ASE
1 - 1
VEN
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |