Team Wellington vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WAI
1 - 2
TEA
62%
20%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TEA
2 - 3
AUC
33%
25%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
TEA
2 - 6
AUC
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
OTA
1 - 1
TEA
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
TEA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 3
AUC
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 3
AUC
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CAN
2 - 3
MAN
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
WAI
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
WAI
3 - 1
MAN
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |