Team Vaud U18 vs Servette FC U18 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
10º
12º
13º
32
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Vaud U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCO
3 - 0
TVA
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TVA
2 - 3
TAF
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
TVA
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TVA
0 - 1
BSC
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
6 - 0
TVA
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Servette FC U18 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SER
1 - 6
FCS
56%
20%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
4 - 0
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
FCB
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
SER
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FCL
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |