Aarau U18 vs Neuchâtel Xamax U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
12º
8º
17
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STG
3 - 3
TAA
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
GCZ
2 - 2
TAA
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 3
TAA
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
TAA
1 - 1
SFC
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BYB
2 - 1
TAA
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NXA
3 - 0
FLK
21%
19%
60%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TTI
2 - 2
NXA
49%
21%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 2
TTI
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NXA
3 - 2
LSS
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
NXA
62%
18%
20%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |