Aarau Sub 18 vs FC Basel Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FCB
4 - 0
TAA
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TAA
2 - 1
TVA
30%
23%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TTI
0 - 4
TAA
67%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TAA
0 - 1
SFC
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 1
TAA
70%
16%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Basel Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FCB
4 - 0
TAA
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
SFC
1 - 0
FCB
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TVA
4 - 5
FCB
13%
17%
70%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 3
FLK
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
TTI
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |