Team Aargau U16 vs FC Thun U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.8%
13%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 4
TMA
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TMA
0 - 2
FCB
7%
11%
81%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 1
TMA
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 3
TMA
85%
10%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 6
STG
31%
21%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thun U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 1
FCS
45%
20%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
YNB
2 - 1
FCT
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
TMV
12%
15%
73%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCT
2 - 4
GRA
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCZ
1 - 4
FCT
92%
6%
2%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +3 |