Tavernes vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tavernes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RAC
4 - 0
TAV
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 2
CDT
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 3
TAV
59%
21%
19%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TAV
0 - 3
MUR
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
REC
0 - 2
TAV
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PEG
3 - 1
CUL
39%
25%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ONT
5 - 0
PEG
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 5
ALG
36%
26%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CDG
1 - 1
PEG
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PEG
1 - 3
XIR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |