Tasmania Berlin vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
10º
8º
70
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 0
TAS
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
4 - 3
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 0
BSC
78%
13%
8%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 0
TAS
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 3
LIC
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LIC
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 0
LIC
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |