Denmark Fourth Division Round 5

Tårnby FF vs Karlslunde analysis

Tårnby FF Karlslunde
38 ELO 45
-8.5% Tilt -5.2%
7081º General ELO ranking 36460º
96º Country ELO ranking 434º
ELO win probability
27%
Tårnby FF
23.5%
Draw
49.5%
Karlslunde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
Tårnby FF
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.5%
Win probability
Karlslunde
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tårnby FF
+2%
-27%
Karlslunde

Points and table prediction

Tårnby FF
Their league position
Karlslunde
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
36
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Brønshøj
38
38
100%
Holbæk B&I
36
36
100%
Karlslunde
36
36
100%
Tårnby FF
29
29
100%
Greve IF
27
27
100%
KFUM Roskilde
24
24
100%
Gorslev
18
18
100%
GVI
14
14
100%
B 1908
13
13
100%
Herstedøster
10º
9
9
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tårnby FF
Karlslunde
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tårnby FF
Karlslunde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tårnby FF
Tårnby FF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
B19
B 1908
1 - 1
Tårnby FF
TAR
38%
22%
41%
39 34 5 0
17 Aug. 2022
TAR
Tårnby FF
2 - 1
GVI
GVI
61%
20%
19%
38 33 5 +1
12 Aug. 2022
TAR
Tårnby FF
2 - 0
KFUM Roskilde
KFU
50%
22%
28%
37 35 2 +1
07 Aug. 2022
HER
Herstedøster
0 - 0
Tårnby FF
TAR
24%
21%
55%
37 27 10 0
04 Aug. 2022
TIF
Tune
1 - 5
Tårnby FF
TAR
8%
14%
78%
37 9 28 0

Matches

Karlslunde
Karlslunde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 4
Herstedøster
HER
80%
12%
7%
45 27 18 0
17 Aug. 2022
GSL
Gorslev
1 - 2
Karlslunde
KAR
26%
23%
51%
44 37 7 +1
13 Aug. 2022
KAR
Karlslunde
1 - 0
Greve IF
GRE
63%
21%
16%
44 37 7 0
06 Aug. 2022
BRØ
Brønshøj
4 - 1
Karlslunde
KAR
24%
23%
52%
45 37 8 -1
02 Aug. 2022
KFU
KFUM
1 - 3
Karlslunde
KAR
15%
17%
68%
44 32 12 +1