Tarm vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.2%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
86.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.3%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.8%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.1%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
RAN
1 - 0
ACH
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BIF
2 - 2
ACH
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 1
SON
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AAB
1 - 1
ACH
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ACH
0 - 2
MID
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |