Tîrgu Mures vs Fortuna Covaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tîrgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
3 - 1
BIH
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BAI
1 - 2
TAR
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MIN
0 - 0
TAR
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 1
OTO
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Covaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCO
2 - 0
MUR
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 1
FCO
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCO
0 - 3
UCL
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UTA
2 - 1
FCO
67%
22%
11%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FCO
2 - 3
JIU
24%
27%
49%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |