Tarbes vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
FCT
0 - 0
TAR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 5
TOU
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 1
TAR
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 1
ARP
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 3
TAR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 0
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BRI
3 - 0
FCT
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOU
0 - 0
BRI
66%
22%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |