Taranto vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
JUS
3 - 2
TAR
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TAR
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
TAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
2 - 1
RPO
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USF
1 - 1
TAR
65%
21%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
FIA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 0
MES
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
AVE
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 0
MES
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |