Lega Pro Group C Round 23

Taranto vs Benevento analysis

Taranto Benevento
59 ELO 71
-26% Tilt -17.2%
2491º General ELO ranking 851º
84º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
18%
Taranto
28.4%
Draw
53.6%
Benevento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
Taranto
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
53.6%
Win probability
Benevento
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Taranto
Their league position
Benevento
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
66
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Juve Stabia
79
79
100%
Avellino
69
69
100%
Taranto
69
69
100%
Benevento
66
66
100%
Casertana
65
65
100%
Picerno
58
58
100%
Audace Cerignola
53
53
0%
SSC Giugliano
53
53
0%
Crotone
52
52
100%
Latina
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Calcio Foggia
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Sorrento
12º
48
48
12º
0%
Catania
13º
45
45
13º
100%
ACR Messina
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Potenza Calcio
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Monopoli
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
19º
35
35
18º
100%
Virtus Francavilla
18º
35
35
19º
100%
Brindisi
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Taranto
Benevento
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Taranto
Benevento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Taranto
Taranto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
MES
ACR Messina
1 - 0
Taranto
TAR
31%
29%
40%
60 54 6 0
12 Jan. 2024
TAR
Taranto
1 - 1
Picerno
PIC
28%
30%
42%
60 64 4 0
06 Jan. 2024
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 2
Taranto
TAR
54%
25%
21%
59 62 3 +1
22 Dec. 2023
TAR
Taranto
2 - 1
Latina
LAT
38%
30%
32%
59 56 3 0
17 Dec. 2023
AVE
Avellino
0 - 0
Taranto
TAR
48%
28%
24%
59 62 3 0

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2024
BEN
Benevento
1 - 0
Casertana
CAS
75%
17%
9%
71 56 15 0
13 Jan. 2024
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
1 - 2
Benevento
BEN
15%
25%
59%
71 51 20 0
06 Jan. 2024
BEN
Benevento
3 - 2
Turris Neapolis
TUR
77%
16%
7%
72 53 19 -1
23 Dec. 2023
BEN
Benevento
0 - 4
Catania
CAT
64%
22%
15%
73 65 8 -1
18 Dec. 2023
LAT
Latina
0 - 0
Benevento
BEN
16%
26%
58%
74 56 18 -1