Tamworth vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 3
TAM
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
DAG
2 - 1
TAM
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 1
STO
19%
26%
55%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
TAM
1 - 2
STA
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STO
0 - 0
TAM
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
STE
1 - 1
WOK
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
STE
0 - 1
SOU
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
YOR
0 - 1
STE
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ALT
1 - 1
STE
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
STE
3 - 1
CAM
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |