Esiliiga Round 10

Tammeka II vs Tartu Welco analysis

Tammeka II Tartu Welco
54 ELO 69
6.7% Tilt 23.4%
4479º General ELO ranking 1782º
27º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
20%
Tammeka II
23.2%
Draw
56.8%
Tartu Welco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
Tammeka II
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.8%
Win probability
Tartu Welco
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tammeka II
-59%
+9%
Tartu Welco

Points and table prediction

Tammeka II
Their league position
Tartu Welco
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
10º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
65
85
96%
Viimsi JK
56
76
85.5%
Tartu Welco
49
66
77%
FC Elva
45
59
62%
FC Flora Tallin II
37
54
65%
FC Tallinn
31
45
54%
Nõmme Kalju II
31
42
41%
Levadia Tallinn II
26
37
49.5%
Tallinna Kalev II
21
32
72%
Tammeka II
10º
6
11
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tammeka II
Tartu Welco
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 10%
Mid-table
0% 90%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tammeka II
Tartu Welco
Nõmme United
FC Flora Tallin II
FC Elva
Viimsi JK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tammeka II
Tammeka II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
NOM
Nõmme United
6 - 2
Tammeka II
TAM
65%
19%
16%
56 64 8 0
25 Apr. 2025
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
9 - 0
Tammeka II
TAM
73%
16%
11%
57 68 11 -1
20 Apr. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
5 - 1
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
35%
24%
41%
55 57 2 +2
10 Apr. 2025
FCT
FC Tallinn
3 - 1
Tammeka II
TAM
52%
23%
25%
56 58 2 -1
06 Apr. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
0 - 1
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
43%
24%
33%
57 57 0 -1

Matches

Tartu Welco
Tartu Welco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 4
Tartu Welco
WEL
25%
24%
51%
68 56 12 0
26 Apr. 2025
WEL
Tartu Welco
3 - 1
Viimsi JK
VJK
43%
26%
31%
66 71 5 +2
20 Apr. 2025
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
61%
21%
18%
66 59 7 0
13 Apr. 2025
FLO
FC Flora Tallin II
3 - 3
Tartu Welco
WEL
57%
21%
22%
66 68 2 0
06 Apr. 2025
NOM
Nõmme United
0 - 1
Tartu Welco
WEL
43%
24%
33%
65 62 3 +1