Esiliiga Round 11

Tallinna Kalev II vs Levadia Tallinn II analysis

Tallinna Kalev II Levadia Tallinn II
55 ELO 58
34.4% Tilt 24.2%
3596º General ELO ranking 3412º
22º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
45.8%
Tallinna Kalev II
23%
Draw
31.2%
Levadia Tallinn II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
Tallinna Kalev II
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.2%
Win probability
Levadia Tallinn II
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tallinna Kalev II
-5%
-18%
Levadia Tallinn II

Points and table prediction

Tallinna Kalev II
Their league position
Levadia Tallinn II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
26
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nõmme United
65
85
96%
Viimsi JK
56
76
85.5%
Tartu Welco
49
66
77%
FC Elva
45
59
62%
FC Flora Tallin II
37
54
65%
FC Tallinn
31
45
54%
Nõmme Kalju II
31
42
41%
Levadia Tallinn II
26
37
49.5%
Tallinna Kalev II
21
32
72%
Tammeka II
10º
6
11
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tallinna Kalev II
Levadia Tallinn II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
8.5% 29%
Relegation play-offs
19.5% 49.5%
Relegation
72% 21.5%

ELO progression

Tallinna Kalev II
Levadia Tallinn II
Viimsi JK
FC Tallinn
Nõmme Kalju II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tallinna Kalev II
Tallinna Kalev II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
4 - 0
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
67%
19%
14%
56 71 15 0
04 May. 2025
FCT
FC Tallinn
1 - 1
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
58%
21%
21%
55 61 6 +1
27 Apr. 2025
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
1 - 3
Nõmme United
NOM
30%
22%
48%
56 63 7 -1
20 Apr. 2025
TAM
Tammeka II
5 - 1
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
35%
24%
41%
57 55 2 -1
10 Apr. 2025
TKA
Tallinna Kalev II
0 - 4
Viimsi JK
VJK
32%
25%
43%
58 70 12 -1

Matches

Levadia Tallinn II
Levadia Tallinn II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2025
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
0 - 2
FC Flora Tallin II
FLO
22%
22%
56%
59 69 10 0
03 May. 2025
VJK
Viimsi JK
2 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
63%
21%
16%
59 70 11 0
28 Apr. 2025
NOM
Nõmme Kalju II
0 - 1
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
44%
24%
32%
59 56 3 0
20 Apr. 2025
WEL
Tartu Welco
1 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
61%
21%
18%
59 66 7 0
13 Apr. 2025
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
3 - 2
FC Elva
FCE
39%
26%
36%
58 61 3 +1