Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
TAF
0 - 5
BFC
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
TAF
0 - 5
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CWM
1 - 1
TAF
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
TAF
7 - 1
MAE
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 4
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRO
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
BRY
5 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
NWP
2 - 3
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |