Tadley Calleva vs Millbrook analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tadley Calleva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
TAD
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
3 - 1
COL
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
2 - 0
GUI
79%
13%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
5 - 0
FLE
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
TAD
2 - 1
CRO
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MLB
1 - 3
STO
8%
11%
81%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
MLB
77%
13%
10%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
MLB
0 - 4
OLD
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OLD
6 - 0
MLB
52%
19%
29%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
MLB
1 - 3
ILF
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |