Sydney Sub 21 vs Northbridge Bulls analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SYD
5 - 2
SYD
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
SYD
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
SYD
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SYD
3 - 4
WOL
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MDT
0 - 5
SYD
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Northbridge Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BLA
2 - 0
NSM
78%
14%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NSM
2 - 2
SUT
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 1
NSM
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 3
NSM
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 1
NSM
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |