Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
7º
24
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 15.5% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
4 - 2
WUF
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 0
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 2
MFC
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SYD
0 - 1
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 0
WES
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
WPH
0 - 3
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 1
WPH
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 0
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |