SWZ vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
44%
23%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
SWZ
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GER
3 - 3
SWZ
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 0
BEQ
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SWZ
0 - 4
FVC
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
GER
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 5
QUI
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 3
ROH
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
JUL
1 - 2
QUI
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 0
FVC
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |