SWZ vs Hoogeveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUL
1 - 4
SWZ
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 4
SWZ
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 2
RIG
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 3
SWZ
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 0
BEQ
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
Matches
Hoogeveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
HOO
1 - 3
RIG
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LON
6 - 3
HOO
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
HOO
1 - 2
BEQ
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MSC
1 - 0
HOO
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HOO
3 - 4
RKH
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |