Swindon Supermarine vs Oxford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 1
ARL
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
3 - 4
SWI
52%
24%
23%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
SWI
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 3
HEM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 3
SWI
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
WEY
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LEA
1 - 1
OXF
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
CHI
37%
26%
36%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
OXF
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
OXF
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |