Swindon Supermarine vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
AFT
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
WIM
3 - 0
SWI
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 3
TAU
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 3
PAU
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 6
HAY
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
AYL
2 - 0
HAR
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
BED
1 - 1
HAR
24%
20%
56%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HAR
1 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SLI
0 - 1
HAR
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |