Swift vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 3
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 1
DFS
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RVV
1 - 1
SWI
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 1
SWI
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ZWA
2 - 2
TER
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 1
ZWA
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
JOD
3 - 2
ZWA
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SLI
4 - 4
ZWA
44%
23%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZWA
0 - 0
HOE
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |