Swift vs de Valleivogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SDV
5 - 2
SWI
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 1
ZUI
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 0
SWI
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEM
3 - 3
SWI
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 2
BRE
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
de Valleivogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CSW
0 - 0
DEV
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 2
BRE
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 2
EEM
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VVZ
2 - 3
DEV
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 2
SVL
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |