Swift vs ODIN '59 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ZWA
4 - 1
SWI
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
JOD
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 2
NOO
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 1
SWI
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
SWI
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ODIN '59
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ODI
4 - 1
VOL
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZWA
0 - 3
ODI
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 3
ODI
62%
20%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ODI
2 - 1
VIT
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
JOD
1 - 3
ODI
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |