Swift vs NSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOV
3 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SWI
0 - 0
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
5 - 1
SWI
43%
23%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ODI
2 - 0
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 1
EEM
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NSC
0 - 2
BEN
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 0
NSC
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ODI
3 - 3
NSC
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NSC
3 - 2
EEM
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LRC
2 - 2
NSC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |