Swift vs Marken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
EEM
1 - 0
SWI
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
CSW
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 1
SWI
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SWI
1 - 1
SDV
37%
24%
39%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ZUI
0 - 0
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
DEM
2 - 5
MAR
60%
19%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
7 - 1
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 3
BRE
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CSW
7 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
EEM
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |